Mark Alford

In the 2024 House race for MO-4, Mark Alford (R) won with 71.1% of the vote, defeating Jeanette Cass (D) who received 26.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Mark Alford's 44.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Mark Alford benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MO-4, Mark Alford (R) won with 71.3% of the vote, defeating Jack Truman (D) who received 26.3%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Mark Alford's 45.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Vicky Hartzler (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Mark Alford benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.