


In the 2024 House race for CA-44, Nanette Diaz Barragán (D) defeated Roger Groh (R) 71.4% to 28.6%. Nanette Diaz Barragán received 164,765 votes compared to 66,087 for Roger Groh, a dominant 42.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.
As the incumbent, Nanette Diaz Barragán benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.
In the 2022 House race for CA-44, Nanette Diaz Barragán (D) defeated Paul Jones (R) 72.2% to 27.8%. Nanette Diaz Barragán received 100,160 votes compared to 38,554 for Paul Jones, a dominant 44.4-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.
As the incumbent, Nanette Diaz Barragán benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Nanette Diaz Barragán won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.
In the 2020 House race for CA-44, Nanette Diaz Barragán (D) defeated Analilia Joya (D) 67.8% to 32.2%. Nanette Diaz Barragán received 139,661 votes compared to 66,375 for Analilia Joya, a dominant 35.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Nanette Diaz Barragan (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.