Troy Balderson

In the 2024 House race for OH-12, Troy Balderson (R) defeated Jerrad Christian (D) 68.5% to 31.5%. Troy Balderson received 260,450 votes compared to 119,738 for Jerrad Christian, a dominant 37.0-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Troy Balderson benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for OH-12, Troy Balderson (R) defeated Amy Rippel-Elton (D) 69.3% to 30.7%. Troy Balderson received 191,344 votes compared to 84,893 for Amy Rippel-Elton, a dominant 38.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Troy Balderson benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Troy Balderson benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for OH-12, Troy Balderson (R) won with 55.2% of the vote, defeating Alaina Shearer (D) who received 41.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Troy Balderson's 13.5-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Troy Balderson benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2018 House race for OH-12, Troy Balderson (R) won with 51.4% of the vote, defeating Danny O'connor (D) who received 47.2%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 4.2-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Patrick J. Tiberi (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Troy Balderson won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).