Tim Burchett

In the 2024 House race for TN-2, Tim Burchett (R) defeated Jane George (D) 69.3% to 30.7%. Tim Burchett received 250,782 votes compared to 111,316 for Jane George, a dominant 38.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Tim Burchett benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for TN-2, Tim Burchett (R) defeated Mark Harmon (D) 67.9% to 32.1%. Tim Burchett received 141,089 votes compared to 66,673 for Mark Harmon, a dominant 35.8-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Tim Burchett benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tim Burchett benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for TN-2, Tim Burchett (R) won with 67.6% of the vote, defeating Renee Hoyos (D) who received 31.1%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Tim Burchett's 36.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for TN-02, Tim Burchett (R) won with 65.9% of the vote, defeating Renee Hoyos (D) who received 33.1%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Tim Burchett's 32.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — John J. Duncan Jr. (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Tim Burchett won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).