Kat Cammack

In the 2024 House race for FL-3, Kat Cammack (R) defeated Tom Wells (D) 61.6% to 38.4%. Kat Cammack received 241,174 votes compared to 150,283 for Tom Wells, a dominant 23.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Kat Cammack benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for FL-3, Kat Cammack (R) won with 62.5% of the vote, defeating Danielle Hawk (D) who received 36.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kat Cammack's 26.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Kat Cammack benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Kat Cammack benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for FL-3, Kat Cammack (R) defeated Adam Christensen (D) 57.1% to 42.9%. Kat Cammack received 223,075 votes compared to 167,326 for Adam Christensen, a comfortable 14.3-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.