Angie Craig

In the 2024 House race for MN-2, Angie Craig (D) won with 55.5% of the vote, defeating Joe Teirab (R) who received 42.1%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Angie Craig's 13.5-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Angie Craig benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for MN-2, Angie Craig (D) won with 50.9% of the vote, defeating Tyler Kistner (R) who received 45.6%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Angie Craig's 5.2-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Angie Craig benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Angie Craig won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2020 House race for MN-2, Angie Craig (D) won with 48.2% of the vote, defeating Tyler Kistner (R) who received 45.9%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 2.3-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2018 House race for MN-02, Angie Craig (D) defeated Jason Lewis (R) 52.7% to 47.1%. Angie Craig received 177,958 votes compared to 159,344 for Jason Lewis, a 5.5-point margin that indicates a genuinely contested race.

This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. John Kline (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Democrat, Angie Craig benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.