Greg Casar

In the 2024 House race for TX-35, Greg Casar (D) defeated Steven Wright (R) 67.4% to 32.6%. Greg Casar received 170,509 votes compared to 82,610 for Steven Wright, a dominant 34.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Greg Casar benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for TX-35, Greg Casar (D) defeated Dan McQueen (R) 72.6% to 27.4%. Greg Casar received 129,599 votes compared to 48,969 for Dan McQueen, a dominant 45.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Lloyd Doggett (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Greg Casar won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.