Byron Donalds

In the 2024 House race for FL-19, Byron Donalds (R) defeated Kari L. Lerner (D) 66.3% to 33.7%. Byron Donalds received 275,708 votes compared to 140,038 for Kari L. Lerner, a dominant 32.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Byron Donalds benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for FL-19, Byron Donalds (R) won with 68.0% of the vote, defeating Cindy Banyai (D) who received 32.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Byron Donalds's 36.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Byron Donalds benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Byron Donalds benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for FL-19, Byron Donalds (R) won with 61.3% of the vote, defeating Cindy Banyai (D) who received 38.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Byron Donalds's 22.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Francis Rooney (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.