Mike Ezell

In the 2024 House race for MS-4, Mike Ezell (R) defeated Craig Elliot Raybon (D) 74.0% to 26.1%. Mike Ezell received 215,095 votes compared to 75,771 for Craig Elliot Raybon, a dominant 47.9-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Mike Ezell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MS-4, Mike Ezell (R) won with 73.3% of the vote, defeating Johnny L. DuPree (D) who received 24.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Mike Ezell's 48.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Steven Palazzo (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Mike Ezell benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.