Brett Guthrie

In the 2024 House race for KY-2, S. Brett Guthrie (R) defeated Hank Linderman (D) 73.1% to 26.9%. S. Brett Guthrie received 252,826 votes compared to 93,029 for Hank Linderman, a dominant 46.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, S. Brett Guthrie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for KY-2, S. Brett Guthrie (R) defeated Hank Linderman (D) 71.9% to 28.1%. S. Brett Guthrie received 170,487 votes compared to 66,769 for Hank Linderman, a dominant 43.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, S. Brett Guthrie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, S. Brett Guthrie benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for KY-2, S. Brett Guthrie (R) won with 71.0% of the vote, defeating Hank Linderman (D) who received 26.3%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. S. Brett Guthrie's 44.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for KY-02, S. Brett Guthrie (R) won with 66.7% of the vote, defeating Hank Linderman (D) who received 31.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. S. Brett Guthrie's 35.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, S. Brett Guthrie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, S. Brett Guthrie won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2014 House race for KY-02, Brett Guthrie (R) defeated Ron Leach (D) 69.2% to 30.8%. Brett Guthrie received 156,936 votes compared to 69,898 for Ron Leach, a dominant 38.4-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Brett Guthrie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Brett Guthrie benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for KY-02, Brett Guthrie (R) won with 64.3% of the vote, defeating David Lynn Williams (D) who received 31.7%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Brett Guthrie's 32.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.