
In the 2024 House race for TX-34, Vicente Gonzalez (D) defeated Mayra Flores (R) 51.3% to 48.7%. Vicente Gonzalez received 102,780 votes compared to 97,603 for Mayra Flores, a narrow 2.6-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.
As the incumbent, Vicente Gonzalez benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.
In the 2022 House race for TX-34, Vicente Gonzalez (D) won with 52.7% of the vote, defeating Mayra Flores (R) who received 44.2%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Vicente Gonzalez's 8.5-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Filemon Vela (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Vicente Gonzalez won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.
In the 2020 House race for TX-34, Filemon Vela (D) won with 55.4% of the vote, defeating Rey Gonzalez (R) who received 41.8%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Filemon Vela's 13.6-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.
As the incumbent, Filemon Vela benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.
In the 2018 House race for TX-34, Filemon B. Vela (D) defeated Rey Gonzalez (R) 60.0% to 40.0%. Filemon B. Vela received 85,825 votes compared to 57,243 for Rey Gonzalez, a comfortable 20.0-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.
As the incumbent, Filemon B. Vela benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Filemon B. Vela benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.
In the 2018 House race for TX-15, Vicente Gonzalez (D) won with 59.7% of the vote, defeating Tim Westley (R) who received 38.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Vicente Gonzalez's 20.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
As the incumbent, Vicente Gonzalez benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Vicente Gonzalez benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.
In the 2016 House race for TX-15, Vicente Gonzalez (D) won with 57.3% of the vote, defeating Tim Westley (R) who received 37.7%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Vicente Gonzalez's 19.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Rub_n Hinojosa (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.