Josh Gottheimer

In the 2024 House race for NJ-5, Josh Gottheimer (D) won with 54.6% of the vote, defeating Mary Jo Guinchard (R) who received 43.3%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Josh Gottheimer's 11.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Josh Gottheimer benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for NJ-5, Josh Gottheimer (D) won with 54.7% of the vote, defeating Frank T. Pallotta (R) who received 44.3%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Josh Gottheimer's 10.4-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Josh Gottheimer benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Josh Gottheimer won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office).

In the 2020 House race for NJ-5, Josh Gottheimer (D) won with 53.1% of the vote, defeating Frank T. Pallotta (R) who received 45.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Josh Gottheimer's 7.5-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2018 House race for NJ-05, Josh Gottheimer (D) won with 56.2% of the vote, defeating John J. Mccann Jr. (R) who received 42.5%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Josh Gottheimer's 13.7-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Joshua S. Gottheimer (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Josh Gottheimer benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for NJ-05, Joshua S. Gottheimer (D) won with 51.1% of the vote, defeating Scott Garrett (R) who received 46.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 4.4-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

Joshua S. Gottheimer defeated the incumbent Scott Garrett (R), which is a significant political event — most incumbents win re-election by wide margins. This was a general election upset. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.