Adelita S. Grijalva

In the 2024 House race for AZ-7, Raúl Grijalva (D) defeated Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. (R) 63.5% to 36.5%. Raúl Grijalva received 171,954 votes compared to 99,057 for Daniel Francis Butierez Sr., a dominant 26.9-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Raúl Grijalva benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for AZ-7, Raúl Grijalva (D) defeated Luis Pozzolo (R) 64.5% to 35.5%. Raúl Grijalva received 126,418 votes compared to 69,444 for Luis Pozzolo, a dominant 29.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Ruben Gallego (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Raúl Grijalva won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for AZ-03, Raul Grijalva (D) defeated Nicolas Nick Pierson (R) 63.9% to 36.1%. Raul Grijalva received 114,650 votes compared to 64,868 for Nicolas Nick Pierson, a dominant 27.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Ra_l M. Grijalva (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Raul Grijalva benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for AZ-03, Ra_l M. Grijalva (D) ran unopposed and received 148,973 votes. Running without a challenger is rare and usually indicates either a safe party stronghold or that the opposition could not field a candidate.

As the incumbent, Ra_l M. Grijalva benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for AZ-03, Ra_l M. Grijalva (D) defeated Gabby Saucedo (R) 55.7% to 44.2%. Ra_l M. Grijalva received 58,192 votes compared to 46,185 for Gabby Saucedo, a comfortable 11.5-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

As the incumbent, Ra_l M. Grijalva benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Ra_l M. Grijalva won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).

In the 2012 House race for AZ-03, Ra_l M. Grijalva (D) won with 58.4% of the vote, defeating Gabriela Saucedo Mercer (R) who received 37.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Ra_l M. Grijalva's 21.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.