J. French Hill

In the 2024 House race for AR-2, French Hill (R) defeated Marcus A. Jones (D) 58.9% to 41.1%. French Hill received 180,509 votes compared to 125,777 for Marcus A. Jones, a comfortable 17.9-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

As the incumbent, French Hill benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for AR-2, French Hill (R) won with 60.0% of the vote, defeating Quintessa Hathaway (D) who received 35.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. French Hill's 24.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, French Hill benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, French Hill benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2020 House race for AR-2, French Hill (R) defeated Joyce Ann Elliott (D) 55.4% to 44.6%. French Hill received 184,093 votes compared to 148,410 for Joyce Ann Elliott, a comfortable 10.7-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2018 House race for AR-02, French Hill (R) won with 52.1% of the vote, defeating Clarke Tucker (D) who received 45.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. French Hill's 6.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, French Hill benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, French Hill won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for AR-02, J. French Hill (R) won with 58.3% of the vote, defeating Dianne Curry (D) who received 36.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. J. French Hill's 21.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, J. French Hill benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for AR-02, French Hill (R) won with 51.9% of the vote, defeating Patrick Henry Hays (D) who received 43.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. French Hill's 8.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Tim Griffin (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, French Hill benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.