Kevin Hern

In the 2024 House race for OK-1, Kevin Hern (R) won with 60.4% of the vote, defeating Dennis Baker (D) who received 34.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kevin Hern's 25.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Kevin Hern benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for OK-1, Kevin Hern (R) won with 61.2% of the vote, defeating Adam Martin (D) who received 34.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kevin Hern's 26.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Kevin Hern benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Kevin Hern benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for OK-1, Kevin Hern (R) won with 63.7% of the vote, defeating Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D) who received 32.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kevin Hern's 31.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for OK-01, Kevin Hern (R) defeated Tim Gilpin (D) 59.3% to 40.7%. Kevin Hern received 150,129 votes compared to 103,042 for Tim Gilpin, a comfortable 18.6-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Jim Bridenstine (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Kevin Hern won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).