


In the 2024 House race for TN-1, Diana Harshbarger (R) won with 78.1% of the vote, defeating Kevin Jenkins (D) who received 19.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Diana Harshbarger's 58.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
As the incumbent, Diana Harshbarger benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.
In the 2022 House race for TN-1, Diana Harshbarger (R) won with 78.3% of the vote, defeating Cameron Parsons (D) who received 19.7%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Diana Harshbarger's 58.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
As the incumbent, Diana Harshbarger benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Diana Harshbarger benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.
In the 2020 House race for TN-1, Diana Harshbarger (R) won with 74.7% of the vote, defeating Blair Walsingham (D) who received 22.5%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Diana Harshbarger's 52.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.