Ron Johnson

In the 2022 Senate race for WI Senate seat, Ron Johnson (R) won with 50.4% of the vote, defeating Mandela Barnes (D) who received 49.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 1.0-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This race flipped the seat from Democrat to Republican. Tammy Baldwin (D) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Republican, Ron Johnson benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2016 Senate race for WI Senate seat, Ron Johnson (R) won with 50.2% of the vote, defeating Russ Feingold (D) who received 46.8%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 3.4-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This race flipped the seat from Democrat to Republican. Tammy Baldwin (D) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.