Ronny Jackson

In the 2024 House race for TX-13, Ronny Jackson (R) ran unopposed and received 240,622 votes. Running without a challenger is rare and usually indicates either a safe party stronghold or that the opposition could not field a candidate.

As the incumbent, Ronny Jackson benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for TX-13, Ronny Jackson (R) defeated Kathleen Brown (D) 75.3% to 24.6%. Ronny Jackson received 161,767 votes compared to 52,910 for Kathleen Brown, a dominant 50.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Ronny Jackson benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Ronny Jackson benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for TX-13, Ronny Jackson (R) won with 79.4% of the vote, defeating Gus Trujillo (D) who received 18.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Ronny Jackson's 60.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Mac Thornberry (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.