Susie Lee

In the 2024 House race for NV-3, Susie Lee (D) defeated Drew Johnson (R) 51.4% to 48.6%. Susie Lee received 191,304 votes compared to 181,084 for Drew Johnson, a narrow 2.7-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

As the incumbent, Susie Lee benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2022 House race for NV-3, Susie Lee (D) defeated April Becker (R) 52.0% to 48.0%. Susie Lee received 131,086 votes compared to 121,083 for April Becker, a narrow 4.0-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

As the incumbent, Susie Lee benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Susie Lee won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2020 House race for NV-3, Susie Lee (D) won with 48.8% of the vote, defeating Daniel Stephen Rodimer (R) who received 45.8%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 3.0-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2018 House race for NV-03, Susie Lee (D) won with 51.9% of the vote, defeating Danny Tarkanian (R) who received 42.8%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Susie Lee's 9.1-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. Joseph J. Heck (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Democrat, Susie Lee benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.