Lisa C. McClain

In the 2024 House race for MI-9, Lisa McClain (R) won with 66.8% of the vote, defeating Clinton St. Mosley (D) who received 29.5%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Lisa McClain's 37.3-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Lisa McClain benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MI-9, Lisa McClain (R) won with 63.9% of the vote, defeating Brian Jaye (D) who received 33.2%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Lisa McClain's 30.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This race flipped the seat from Democrat to Republican. Andy Levin (D) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Republican, Lisa McClain benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.