Thomas Massie

In the 2024 House race for KY-4, Thomas Massie (R) defeated Benjamin August Middendorf (W) 99.6% to 0.4%. Thomas Massie received 278,386 votes compared to 1,131 for Benjamin August Middendorf, a dominant 99.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Thomas Massie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for KY-4, Thomas Massie (R) won with 65.0% of the vote, defeating Matthew Lehman (D) who received 31.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Thomas Massie's 34.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Thomas Massie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Thomas Massie benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for KY-4, Thomas Massie (R) defeated Alexandra Owensby (D) 67.1% to 32.9%. Thomas Massie received 256,613 votes compared to 125,896 for Alexandra Owensby, a dominant 34.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for KY-04, Thomas Massie (R) won with 62.2% of the vote, defeating Seth Hall (D) who received 34.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Thomas Massie's 27.7-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Thomas Massie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Thomas Massie won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for KY-04, Thomas Massie (R) defeated Calvin Sidle (D) 71.3% to 28.7%. Thomas Massie received 233,922 votes compared to 94,065 for Calvin Sidle, a dominant 42.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Thomas Massie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for KY-04, Thomas Massie (R) defeated Peter Newberry (D) 67.7% to 32.3%. Thomas Massie received 150,464 votes compared to 71,694 for Peter Newberry, a dominant 35.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Thomas Massie benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Thomas Massie benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for KY-04, Thomas Massie (R) won with 62.1% of the vote, defeating William R. ??bill?? Adkins (D) who received 35.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Thomas Massie's 27.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.