Morgan McGarvey

In the 2024 House race for KY-3, Morgan McGarvey (D) won with 62.0% of the vote, defeating Mike Craven (R) who received 38.0%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Morgan McGarvey's 23.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Morgan McGarvey benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for KY-3, Morgan McGarvey (D) won with 62.0% of the vote, defeating Stuart N. Ray (R) who received 38.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Morgan McGarvey's 24.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — John Yarmuth (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Morgan McGarvey won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office).