Dave Min

In the 2024 House race for CA-47, Dave Min (D) defeated Scott Baugh (R) 51.4% to 48.6%. Dave Min received 181,721 votes compared to 171,554 for Scott Baugh, a narrow 2.9-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Katie Porter (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.