Nancy Pelosi

In the 2024 House race for CA-11, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated Bruce Lou (R) 81.0% to 19.0%. Nancy Pelosi received 274,796 votes compared to 64,315 for Bruce Lou, a dominant 62.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Nancy Pelosi benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for CA-11, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated John Dennis (R) 84.0% to 16.1%. Nancy Pelosi received 220,848 votes compared to 42,217 for John Dennis, a dominant 67.9-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Mark DeSaulnier (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Nancy Pelosi won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for CA-12, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated Lisa Remmer (R) 86.8% to 13.2%. Nancy Pelosi received 550,584 votes compared to 83,560 for Lisa Remmer, a dominant 73.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Nancy Pelosi benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Nancy Pelosi benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for CA-12, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated Preston Picus (n) 80.9% to 19.1%. Nancy Pelosi received 274,035 votes compared to 64,810 for Preston Picus, a dominant 61.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Nancy Pelosi benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for CA-12, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated John Dennis (R) 83.3% to 16.8%. Nancy Pelosi received 160,067 votes compared to 32,197 for John Dennis, a dominant 66.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Nancy Pelosi benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Nancy Pelosi won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).

In the 2012 House race for CA-12, Nancy Pelosi (D) defeated John Dennis (R) 85.1% to 14.9%. Nancy Pelosi received 253,709 votes compared to 44,478 for John Dennis, a dominant 70.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.