
In the 2024 Senate race for NV Senate seat, Jacky S. Rosen (D) won with 47.9% of the vote, defeating Sam Brown (R) who received 46.2%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 1.6-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Catherine Cortez Masto (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.
In the 2018 Senate race for NV Senate seat, Jacky Rosen (D) won with 50.4% of the vote, defeating Dean Heller (R) who received 45.4%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Jacky Rosen's 5.0-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.
This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Jacky Rosen benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.
In the 2016 House race for NV-03, Jacky Rosen (D) won with 47.2% of the vote, defeating Danny Tarkanian (R) who received 46.0%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 1.3-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.
This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. Joseph J. Heck (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.