Chip Roy

In the 2024 House race for TX-21, Chip Roy (R) won with 61.9% of the vote, defeating Kristin Hook (D) who received 36.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Chip Roy's 25.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Chip Roy benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for TX-21, Chip Roy (R) defeated Claudia Andreana Zapata (D) 62.8% to 37.2%. Chip Roy received 207,426 votes compared to 122,655 for Claudia Andreana Zapata, a dominant 25.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Chip Roy benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Chip Roy benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for TX-21, Chip Roy (R) won with 52.0% of the vote, defeating Wendy R. Davis (D) who received 45.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Chip Roy's 6.6-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Chip Roy benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2018 House race for TX-21, Chip Roy (R) won with 50.2% of the vote, defeating Joseph Kopser (D) who received 47.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 2.6-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Lamar Smith (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Chip Roy won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).