Victoria Spartz

In the 2024 House race for IN-5, Victoria Spartz (R) won with 56.6% of the vote, defeating Deborah A. Pickett (D) who received 38.0%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Victoria Spartz's 18.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Victoria Spartz benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for IN-5, Victoria Spartz (R) defeated Jeannine Lee Lake (D) 61.1% to 38.9%. Victoria Spartz received 146,575 votes compared to 93,434 for Jeannine Lee Lake, a dominant 22.1-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Victoria Spartz benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Victoria Spartz benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2020 House race for IN-5, Victoria Spartz (R) won with 50.0% of the vote, defeating Christina Hale (D) who received 45.9%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 4.1-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.