


In the 2024 House race for CA-38, Linda T. Sánchez (D) defeated Eric J. Ching (R) 59.8% to 40.2%. Linda T. Sánchez received 165,110 votes compared to 110,818 for Eric J. Ching, a comfortable 19.7-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.
As the incumbent, Linda T. Sánchez benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.
In the 2022 House race for CA-38, Linda T. Sánchez (D) defeated Eric J. Ching (R) 58.1% to 41.9%. Linda T. Sánchez received 101,260 votes compared to 73,051 for Eric J. Ching, a comfortable 16.2-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.
As the incumbent, Linda T. Sánchez benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Linda T. Sánchez won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office).
In the 2020 House race for CA-38, Linda T. Sánchez (D) defeated Michael Tolar (D) 74.3% to 25.7%. Linda T. Sánchez received 190,467 votes compared to 65,739 for Michael Tolar, a dominant 48.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Linda T. Sanchez (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.