Adrian Smith

In the 2024 House race for NE-3, Adrian Smith (R) defeated Daniel Ebers (D) 80.4% to 19.6%. Adrian Smith received 243,481 votes compared to 59,287 for Daniel Ebers, a dominant 60.8-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Adrian Smith benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for NE-3, Adrian Smith (R) won with 78.3% of the vote, defeating David J. Else (D) who received 15.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Adrian Smith's 62.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Adrian Smith benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Adrian Smith benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for NE-3, Adrian Smith (R) won with 78.5% of the vote, defeating Mark Elworth Jr. (D) who received 17.7%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Adrian Smith's 60.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for NE-03, Adrian Smith (R) defeated Paul Theobald (D) 76.7% to 23.3%. Adrian Smith received 163,650 votes compared to 49,654 for Paul Theobald, a dominant 53.4-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Adrian Smith benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Adrian Smith won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2014 House race for NE-03, Adrian Smith (R) defeated Mark Sullivan (D) 75.4% to 24.6%. Adrian Smith received 139,440 votes compared to 45,524 for Mark Sullivan, a dominant 50.8-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Adrian Smith benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Adrian Smith benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for NE-03, Adrian Smith (R) defeated Mark Sullivan (D) 74.2% to 25.8%. Adrian Smith received 187,423 votes compared to 65,266 for Mark Sullivan, a dominant 48.3-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.