David Schweikert

In the 2024 House race for AZ-1, David Schweikert (R) defeated Amish Shah (D) 51.9% to 48.1%. David Schweikert received 225,538 votes compared to 208,966 for Amish Shah, a narrow 3.8-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

As the incumbent, David Schweikert benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2022 House race for AZ-1, David Schweikert (R) defeated Jevin Hodge (D) 50.4% to 49.6%. David Schweikert received 182,336 votes compared to 179,141 for Jevin Hodge, a razor-thin margin of just 0.9 points — among the closest races in the country.

This race flipped the seat from Democrat to Republican. Tom O'Halleran (D) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Republican, David Schweikert benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2018 House race for AZ-06, David Schweikert (R) defeated Anita Malik (D) 55.2% to 44.8%. David Schweikert received 173,140 votes compared to 140,559 for Anita Malik, a comfortable 10.4-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

As the incumbent, David Schweikert benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, David Schweikert won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for AZ-06, David Schweikert (R) defeated W. John Williamson (D) 62.1% to 37.9%. David Schweikert received 201,578 votes compared to 122,866 for W. John Williamson, a dominant 24.3-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, David Schweikert benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for AZ-06, David Schweikert (R) defeated W. John Williamson (D) 64.9% to 35.1%. David Schweikert received 129,578 votes compared to 70,198 for W. John Williamson, a dominant 29.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, David Schweikert benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, David Schweikert benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for AZ-06, David Schweikert (R) won with 61.3% of the vote, defeating Matt Jette (D) who received 33.3%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. David Schweikert's 28.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.