Eric Swalwell

In the 2024 House race for CA-14, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Vin Kruttiventi (R) 67.8% to 32.3%. Eric Swalwell received 187,263 votes compared to 89,125 for Vin Kruttiventi, a dominant 35.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Eric Swalwell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for CA-14, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Alison Hayden (R) 69.3% to 30.7%. Eric Swalwell received 137,612 votes compared to 60,852 for Alison Hayden, a dominant 38.7-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Jackie Speier (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Eric Swalwell won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for CA-15, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Rudy L. Peters Jr. (R) 73.0% to 27.0%. Eric Swalwell received 355,978 votes compared to 131,880 for Rudy L. Peters Jr., a dominant 45.9-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Eric Swalwell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Eric Swalwell benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2016 House race for CA-15, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Danny R. Turner (R) 73.8% to 26.2%. Eric Swalwell received 198,578 votes compared to 70,619 for Danny R. Turner, a dominant 47.5-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Eric Swalwell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for CA-15, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Hugh Bussell (R) 69.8% to 30.2%. Eric Swalwell received 99,756 votes compared to 43,150 for Hugh Bussell, a dominant 39.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Eric Swalwell benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Eric Swalwell won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).

In the 2012 House race for CA-15, Eric Swalwell (D) defeated Fortney Pete Stark (D) 52.1% to 47.9%. Eric Swalwell received 120,388 votes compared to 110,646 for Fortney Pete Stark, a narrow 4.2-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.