
In the 2022 Senate race for HI Senate seat, Brian Schatz (D) won with 71.2% of the vote, defeating Bob McDermott (R) who received 26.0%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Brian Schatz's 45.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Mazie K. Hirono (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Brian Schatz won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.
In the 2016 Senate race for HI Senate seat, Brian Schatz (D) won with 70.0% of the vote, defeating John Carroll (R) who received 21.2%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Brian Schatz's 48.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
As the incumbent, Brian Schatz benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.
In the 2014 Senate race for HI Senate seat, Brian Schatz (D) won with 66.8% of the vote, defeating Cam Cavasso (R) who received 26.5%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Brian Schatz's 40.3-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.
This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Mazie K. Hirono (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Brian Schatz won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Obama was in office).