Mary Gay Scanlon

In the 2024 House race for PA-5, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) defeated Alfeia Goodwin (R) 65.3% to 34.7%. Mary Gay Scanlon received 267,754 votes compared to 142,355 for Alfeia Goodwin, a dominant 30.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Mary Gay Scanlon benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for PA-5, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) defeated David Galluch (R) 65.1% to 34.9%. Mary Gay Scanlon received 205,128 votes compared to 110,058 for David Galluch, a dominant 30.2-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Mary Gay Scanlon benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Mary Gay Scanlon won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for PA-5, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) defeated Dasha Yermakova Pruett (R) 64.7% to 35.3%. Mary Gay Scanlon received 255,743 votes compared to 139,552 for Dasha Yermakova Pruett, a dominant 29.4-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.