Elissa Slotkin

In the 2024 Senate race for MI Senate seat, Elissa Slotkin (D) won with 48.6% of the vote, defeating Mike Rogers (R) who received 48.3%. 5 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 0.3-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Gary C. Peters (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2018 House race for MI-08, Elissa Slotkin (D) won with 50.6% of the vote, defeating Mike Bishop (R) who received 46.8%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 3.8-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

Elissa Slotkin defeated the incumbent Mike Bishop (R), which is a significant political event — most incumbents win re-election by wide margins. This was a general election upset. As a Democrat, Elissa Slotkin benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.