Haley M. Stevens

In the 2024 House race for MI-11, Haley Stevens (D) won with 58.2% of the vote, defeating Nick Somberg (R) who received 39.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Haley Stevens's 18.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Haley Stevens benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for MI-11, Haley Stevens (D) defeated Mark Ambrose (R) 61.3% to 38.7%. Haley Stevens received 224,537 votes compared to 141,642 for Mark Ambrose, a dominant 22.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Haley Stevens benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Haley Stevens won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office).

In the 2020 House race for MI-11, Haley Stevens (D) won with 50.2% of the vote, defeating Eric S. Esshaki (R) who received 47.8%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 2.4-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

As the incumbent, Haley Stevens benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.

In the 2018 House race for MI-11, Haley Stevens (D) won with 51.8% of the vote, defeating Lena Epstein (R) who received 45.2%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Haley Stevens's 6.7-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. David A. Trott (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Democrat, Haley Stevens benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.