Kim Schrier

In the 2024 House race for WA-8, Kim Schrier (D) won with 54.0% of the vote, defeating Carmen Goers (R) who received 45.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kim Schrier's 8.2-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Kim Schrier benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2022 House race for WA-8, Kim Schrier (D) won with 53.3% of the vote, defeating Matt Larkin (R) who received 46.4%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Kim Schrier's 6.9-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Kim Schrier benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Kim Schrier won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2020 House race for WA-8, Kim Schrier (D) won with 51.7% of the vote, defeating Jesse Jensen (R) who received 48.1%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 3.6-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2018 House race for WA-08, Kim Schrier (D) defeated Dino Rossi (R) 52.4% to 47.6%. Kim Schrier received 164,089 votes compared to 148,968 for Dino Rossi, a narrow 4.8-point margin that would have flipped with a small shift in turnout or persuasion.

This race flipped the seat from Republican to Democrat. David G. Reichert (R) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Democrat, Kim Schrier benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.