Rashida Tlaib

In the 2024 House race for MI-12, Rashida Tlaib (D) won with 69.7% of the vote, defeating James D. Hooper (R) who received 25.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Rashida Tlaib's 44.3-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Rashida Tlaib benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MI-12, Rashida Tlaib (D) won with 70.8% of the vote, defeating Steven Elliott (R) who received 26.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Rashida Tlaib's 44.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Debbie Dingell (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Rashida Tlaib won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for MI-13, Rashida Tlaib (D) won with 84.2% of the vote, defeating Sam Johnson (w) who received 11.3%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Rashida Tlaib's 72.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — John Conyers, Jr. (D) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Democrat, Rashida Tlaib benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Republican in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.