Beth Van Duyne

In the 2024 House race for TX-24, Beth Van Duyne (R) defeated Sam Eppler (D) 60.3% to 39.7%. Beth Van Duyne received 227,108 votes compared to 149,518 for Sam Eppler, a dominant 20.6-point margin reflecting a safely partisan district.

As the incumbent, Beth Van Duyne benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for TX-24, Beth Van Duyne (R) defeated Jan McDowell (D) 59.8% to 40.3%. Beth Van Duyne received 177,947 votes compared to 119,878 for Jan McDowell, a comfortable 19.5-point margin indicating a moderately safe district.

As the incumbent, Beth Van Duyne benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Beth Van Duyne benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2020 House race for TX-24, Beth Van Duyne (R) won with 48.8% of the vote, defeating Candace Valenzuela (D) who received 47.5%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. The 1.3-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Kenny E Marchant (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. Given the narrow margin, this seat is likely to remain competitive and attract heavy investment in the next cycle.