Tim Walberg

In the 2024 House race for MI-5, Tim Walberg (R) won with 65.7% of the vote, defeating Libbi Urban (D) who received 32.8%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tim Walberg's 32.9-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tim Walberg benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2022 House race for MI-5, Tim Walberg (R) won with 62.4% of the vote, defeating Bart Goldberg (D) who received 35.0%. 4 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Tim Walberg's 27.5-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This race flipped the seat from Democrat to Republican. Daniel T. Kildee (D) held the seat previously but either retired or lost in a primary. Party flips at the seat level are relatively rare and often signal shifting district dynamics. As a Republican, Tim Walberg benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Republican column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2018 House race for MI-07, Tim Walberg (R) defeated Gretchen Driskell (D) 53.8% to 46.2%. Tim Walberg received 158,730 votes compared to 136,330 for Gretchen Driskell, a 7.6-point margin that indicates a genuinely contested race.

As the incumbent, Tim Walberg benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tim Walberg won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Republican Trump was in office).

In the 2016 House race for MI-07, Tim Walberg (R) won with 55.0% of the vote, defeating Gretchen D. Driskell (D) who received 40.0%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Tim Walberg's 15.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Tim Walberg benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for MI-07, Tim Walberg (R) won with 53.5% of the vote, defeating Pam Byrnes (D) who received 41.2%. 3 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Tim Walberg's 12.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Tim Walberg benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Republican, Tim Walberg benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.

In the 2012 House race for MI-07, Tim Walberg (R) won with 53.3% of the vote, defeating Kurt Richard Haskell (D) who received 43.0%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Tim Walberg's 10.3-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

This was an open-seat race. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. The 2012 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.