Bonnie Watson Coleman

In the 2024 House race for NJ-12, Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) won with 61.2% of the vote, defeating Darius Mayfield (R) who received 36.4%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 24.8-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Bonnie Watson Coleman benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2022 House race for NJ-12, Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) won with 63.1% of the vote, defeating Darius Mayfield (R) who received 35.9%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 27.2-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Bonnie Watson Coleman benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. As a Democrat, Bonnie Watson Coleman won despite the historical midterm penalty against the president's party (Democrat Biden was in office). The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.

In the 2020 House race for NJ-12, Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) won with 65.6% of the vote, defeating Mark Razzoli (R) who received 32.6%. 2 additional candidates split the remaining vote. Bonnie Watson Coleman's 33.1-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Bonnie Watson Coleman benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2020 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. The wide margin suggests this district is firmly in the Democrat column for the foreseeable future.