Ryan K. Zinke

In the 2024 House race for MT-1, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won with 52.3% of the vote, defeating Monica Tranel (D) who received 44.6%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Ryan K. Zinke's 7.7-point lead over the runner-up showed solid but not overwhelming support.

As the incumbent, Ryan K. Zinke benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2024 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2022 House race for MT-1, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won with 49.6% of the vote, defeating Monica Tranel (D) who received 46.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. The 3.2-point margin made this one of the more competitive races of the cycle.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Matt Rosendale (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Ryan K. Zinke benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats. This seat will likely stay on party watch lists as potentially competitive in future cycles.

In the 2016 House race for MT-00, Ryan K. Zinke (R) won with 56.2% of the vote, defeating Denise Juneau (D) who received 40.5%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Ryan K. Zinke's 15.6-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

As the incumbent, Ryan K. Zinke benefited from name recognition, established constituent services, and the roughly 2-3 point advantage that sitting members typically enjoy. The 2016 presidential election drove higher voter turnout, which can help or hurt down-ballot candidates depending on the top of the ticket.

In the 2014 House race for MT-00, Ryan Zinke (R) won with 55.4% of the vote, defeating John Lewis (D) who received 40.4%. A third candidate also appeared on the ballot. Ryan Zinke's 15.0-point advantage over the runner-up confirmed a comfortable win.

This was an open-seat race with no incumbent running — Steve Daines (R) previously held the seat. Open seats typically attract stronger candidates and heavier spending from both parties. As a Republican, Ryan Zinke benefited from the historical midterm penalty against the president's party — with a Democrat in the White House, the opposition typically gains seats.